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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+4.62vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.51+6.55vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.80+4.43vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+3.10vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.28+4.07vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.51-1.06vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.21-1.14vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.74vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.39-3.78vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.60-1.70vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.08-1.02vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.72-4.14vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-0.34vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.78-0.12vs Predicted
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15Bates College1.65-3.62vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.13-2.79vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.29-1.64vs Predicted
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18Williams College-0.03-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.62Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.55Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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7.43Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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7.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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9.07Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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4.94University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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5.86Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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5.22Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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8.3Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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9.98Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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7.86University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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12.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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13.88University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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11.38Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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13.21University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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15.36Maine Maritime Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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15.84Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Lyons | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| OJ O'Connell | 14.4% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 12.4% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| George Luber | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 10.4% | 5.5% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 12.7% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 7.2% |
| Steven Bell | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 23.9% | 30.3% |
| Jorge Castro | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 12.7% | 20.8% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.