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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+6.51vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.85+3.87vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.10+7.21vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.73+1.79vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.47+1.85vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.17+5.36vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.81+3.48vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.58+2.13vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.24-0.72vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.86-0.82vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.79-3.27vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.29-4.41vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.38-5.73vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.34-7.16vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.32-1.97vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.20-1.76vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-6.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.177.5%1st Place
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5.87Brown University2.8510.6%1st Place
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10.21University of Rhode Island2.103.5%1st Place
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5.79Yale University2.7312.6%1st Place
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6.85Harvard University2.478.7%1st Place
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11.36Northeastern University1.172.8%1st Place
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10.48Tufts University1.813.9%1st Place
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10.13University of Vermont1.583.6%1st Place
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8.28Bowdoin College2.245.4%1st Place
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9.18Roger Williams University1.864.7%1st Place
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7.73Boston University1.796.8%1st Place
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7.59Connecticut College2.296.9%1st Place
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7.27Dartmouth College2.387.8%1st Place
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6.84Boston College2.348.6%1st Place
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13.03Salve Regina University1.321.7%1st Place
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14.24Maine Maritime Academy0.201.4%1st Place
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10.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.243.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Unangst | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| Jack Egan | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.8% |
| Talia Toland | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 4.7% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 4.0% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| William Michels | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 20.3% | 21.9% |
| Ella Beauregard | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 15.5% | 43.2% |
| Alex Abate | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.