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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+4.55vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.28+7.32vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.51+1.96vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.21+1.73vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+7.59vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+2.78vs Predicted
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7Williams College-0.03+8.75vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-0.84vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.60-1.06vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.72-2.27vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut1.13+2.06vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.51-3.42vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.78+0.83vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.42+2.27vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.80-7.78vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.08-6.11vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.39-11.59vs Predicted
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18Bates College1.65-6.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.32Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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4.96University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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5.73Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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12.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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8.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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15.75Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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7.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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7.94Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.73University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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13.06University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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8.58Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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13.83University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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16.27Maine Maritime Academy-0.420.0%1st Place
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7.22Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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9.89Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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5.41Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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11.23Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| OJ O'Connell | 14.4% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Luber | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 4.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jorge Castro | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 27.0% | 33.4% |
| Chloe Lepert | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 11.4% | 5.6% |
| Reed Lorimer | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 18.9% | 9.0% |
| Kyle Thomas | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 22.1% | 45.1% |
| Matthew Lyons | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 13.9% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Scribner | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.