← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.85+4.85vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.38+4.92vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.24+5.24vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.73+1.72vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.47+1.85vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.81+4.42vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.34-0.08vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University1.32+5.22vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island2.10+1.19vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-2.52vs Predicted
-
11Boston University1.79-2.97vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-1.25vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont1.58-2.87vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.17-2.61vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University1.86-5.94vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College2.29-8.52vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy0.20-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.85Brown University2.8512.2%1st Place
-
6.92Dartmouth College2.388.2%1st Place
-
8.24Bowdoin College2.246.4%1st Place
-
5.72Yale University2.7312.2%1st Place
-
6.85Harvard University2.478.6%1st Place
-
10.42Tufts University1.813.4%1st Place
-
6.92Boston College2.347.5%1st Place
-
13.22Salve Regina University1.321.1%1st Place
-
10.19University of Rhode Island2.103.1%1st Place
-
7.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.8%1st Place
-
8.03Boston University1.796.6%1st Place
-
10.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.243.2%1st Place
-
10.13University of Vermont1.583.7%1st Place
-
11.39Northeastern University1.172.9%1st Place
-
9.06Roger Williams University1.865.5%1st Place
-
7.48Connecticut College2.297.9%1st Place
-
14.35Maine Maritime Academy0.200.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Jack Egan | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Talia Toland | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 6.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 19.4% | 22.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Alex Abate | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 6.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.0% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 8.9% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Ella Beauregard | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 16.3% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.