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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.80+6.44vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.51+3.06vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+2.49vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+3.11vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.08+4.68vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.28+3.14vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+1.78vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.60-0.08vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.72-1.55vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.21-3.95vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.39-5.61vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.51-3.47vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.78+0.85vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-1.50vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.42+1.45vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.13-2.87vs Predicted
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17Williams College-0.03-1.17vs Predicted
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18Bates College1.65-6.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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5.06University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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5.49Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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9.68Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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8.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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7.92Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.45University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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6.05Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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5.39Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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8.53Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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13.85University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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12.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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16.45Maine Maritime Academy-0.420.0%1st Place
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13.13University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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15.83Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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11.21Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Lyons | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| OJ O'Connell | 11.5% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 12.7% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 19.6% | 17.9% | 8.9% |
| George Luber | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 2.8% |
| Kyle Thomas | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 22.5% | 48.5% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 4.9% |
| Jorge Castro | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 27.0% | 33.5% |
| Samuel Scribner | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.