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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.24+7.03vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.38+4.69vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.17+8.02vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.10+5.83vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.86+3.79vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.32+6.69vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.73-1.51vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.81+2.04vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.58+0.65vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.34-3.41vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-1.29vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-4.72vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.47-6.53vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.79-6.53vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.43-1.43vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.20-1.87vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.85-11.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.03Bowdoin College2.246.5%1st Place
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6.69Dartmouth College2.389.4%1st Place
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11.02Northeastern University1.172.1%1st Place
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9.83University of Rhode Island2.103.5%1st Place
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8.79Roger Williams University1.865.0%1st Place
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12.69Salve Regina University1.321.8%1st Place
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5.49Yale University2.7312.1%1st Place
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10.04Tufts University1.813.8%1st Place
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9.65University of Vermont1.584.2%1st Place
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6.59Boston College2.348.2%1st Place
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9.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.9%1st Place
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7.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.178.1%1st Place
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6.47Harvard University2.4710.0%1st Place
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7.47Boston University1.797.9%1st Place
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13.57Connecticut College0.431.1%1st Place
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14.13Maine Maritime Academy0.200.9%1st Place
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5.56Brown University2.8511.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alden Grimes | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| William Michels | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 5.9% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 15.8% |
| Jack Egan | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Talia Toland | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John Ped | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Powers | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 19.1% | 27.7% |
| Ella Beauregard | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 18.9% | 36.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.3% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.