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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Daniel Unangst 7.8% 8.2% 6.5% 7.8% 7.8% 7.3% 7.1% 7.3% 7.2% 7.0% 6.7% 6.7% 4.8% 4.0% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
Sophia Reineke 8.8% 9.6% 9.3% 8.4% 8.1% 8.6% 8.6% 8.5% 6.9% 6.2% 4.7% 4.7% 3.8% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Alden Grimes 6.0% 6.6% 6.6% 7.6% 6.7% 6.2% 6.7% 7.8% 7.2% 7.3% 8.0% 6.0% 5.5% 5.1% 4.2% 2.0% 0.5%
Tyler Mowry 8.0% 7.9% 7.7% 7.3% 7.8% 7.0% 7.3% 7.0% 7.2% 7.1% 6.9% 5.1% 4.9% 4.8% 2.3% 1.2% 0.3%
Eli Burnes 9.7% 8.1% 8.8% 9.7% 8.4% 8.1% 8.8% 7.1% 7.0% 5.6% 5.2% 5.1% 3.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.8% 0.3%
Jack Egan 12.4% 12.0% 11.5% 10.3% 9.3% 8.5% 7.8% 7.0% 5.7% 5.0% 3.1% 2.6% 2.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Aidan naughton 3.9% 3.4% 4.4% 4.5% 5.1% 4.9% 4.7% 5.0% 6.6% 7.1% 6.8% 8.0% 8.8% 9.2% 8.3% 6.7% 2.8%
William Michels 8.5% 8.6% 9.2% 8.0% 8.9% 7.3% 8.2% 7.3% 8.0% 5.9% 6.5% 5.5% 3.4% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Talia Toland 3.4% 3.3% 3.5% 4.5% 3.7% 4.5% 5.8% 6.3% 6.1% 6.1% 6.3% 8.8% 8.9% 9.3% 9.7% 7.1% 2.8%
Connor Nelson 12.9% 11.8% 10.4% 10.3% 9.3% 9.8% 7.8% 7.2% 5.0% 5.5% 3.8% 2.3% 1.9% 0.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Grant Gridley 5.0% 5.1% 6.0% 5.0% 5.3% 6.5% 5.9% 6.5% 7.2% 7.7% 8.2% 7.1% 7.0% 6.9% 5.7% 3.8% 1.2%
Alex Bowdler 1.5% 1.9% 1.9% 2.2% 2.9% 1.9% 3.6% 2.9% 3.3% 4.6% 4.7% 5.7% 7.8% 9.2% 11.4% 18.0% 16.2%
Ted Bjerregaard 2.9% 2.5% 3.6% 3.8% 3.4% 4.0% 3.8% 4.5% 5.1% 5.9% 6.3% 8.2% 8.8% 10.5% 10.5% 9.7% 6.7%
Connell Phillipps 3.5% 4.7% 3.7% 3.9% 5.2% 5.5% 5.2% 5.1% 6.5% 6.5% 8.2% 8.4% 8.3% 8.3% 8.2% 6.0% 2.9%
John Ped 3.8% 4.2% 4.5% 3.9% 5.3% 6.2% 5.1% 5.9% 6.0% 6.5% 8.1% 8.2% 8.6% 7.8% 7.8% 5.9% 2.3%
Ella Beauregard 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 1.0% 1.6% 1.7% 2.2% 2.3% 2.4% 3.1% 3.4% 5.2% 7.4% 11.5% 16.7% 37.1%
Andrew Powers 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.5% 1.8% 2.2% 1.9% 2.2% 2.8% 3.5% 3.5% 4.3% 6.2% 8.2% 12.8% 19.3% 26.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.