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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+6.32vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.34+4.49vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.24+4.95vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.79+3.28vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.47+1.55vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.73-0.47vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.10+2.91vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.38-1.28vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.81+1.18vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.85-4.51vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.86-2.17vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.32+0.56vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.17-2.03vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.58-4.18vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-5.35vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.20-1.82vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.43-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.177.8%1st Place
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6.49Boston College2.348.8%1st Place
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7.95Bowdoin College2.246.0%1st Place
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7.28Boston University1.798.0%1st Place
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6.55Harvard University2.479.7%1st Place
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5.53Yale University2.7312.4%1st Place
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9.91University of Rhode Island2.103.9%1st Place
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6.72Dartmouth College2.388.5%1st Place
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10.18Tufts University1.813.4%1st Place
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5.49Brown University2.8512.9%1st Place
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8.83Roger Williams University1.865.0%1st Place
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12.56Salve Regina University1.321.5%1st Place
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10.97Northeastern University1.172.9%1st Place
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9.82University of Vermont1.583.5%1st Place
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9.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.8%1st Place
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14.18Maine Maritime Academy0.200.8%1st Place
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13.57Connecticut College0.431.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
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Daniel Unangst | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Sophia Reineke | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Alden Grimes | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
Tyler Mowry | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
Eli Burnes | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Jack Egan | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Aidan naughton | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
William Michels | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Talia Toland | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
Connor Nelson | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Grant Gridley | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
Alex Bowdler | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 18.0% | 16.2% |
Ted Bjerregaard | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.7% |
Connell Phillipps | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
John Ped | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
Ella Beauregard | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 16.7% | 37.1% |
Andrew Powers | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 19.3% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.