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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.21+5.05vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.80+5.43vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.39+2.35vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+4.62vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.51-0.08vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.72+1.52vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.08+2.86vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.35-2.68vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.60-1.14vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.28-0.66vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-3.73vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.51-3.45vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.42+3.33vs Predicted
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14Bates College1.65-2.92vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.78-1.06vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.13-2.91vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-4.20vs Predicted
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18Williams College-0.03-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.43Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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5.35Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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8.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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4.92University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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7.52University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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9.86Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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5.32Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.86Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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9.34Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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7.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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8.55Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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16.33Maine Maritime Academy-0.420.0%1st Place
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11.08Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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13.94University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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13.09University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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12.8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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15.64Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugh MacGillivray | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Lyons | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 12.5% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| OJ O'Connell | 15.2% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Allyson Donahue | 12.7% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Thomas | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 21.2% | 49.5% |
| Samuel Scribner | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 19.7% | 17.6% | 8.9% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 5.3% |
| George Luber | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 10.5% | 4.4% |
| Jorge Castro | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 15.3% | 28.8% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.