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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.92+2.23vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+1.67vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+1.39vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.92+1.08vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy2.03+1.53vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.65-2.29vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.58-1.30vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.63-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23Boston College3.920.2%1st Place
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3.67Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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4.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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5.08Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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6.53Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
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3.71Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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5.7Connecticut College2.580.1%1st Place
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3.69University of Vermont3.630.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 21.8% | 20.2% | 18.6% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Astwood | 16.1% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 1.6% |
| David Larson | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 6.0% |
| William Hawk | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 18.6% | 14.1% |
| Hollister Poole | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 18.6% | 46.7% |
| Duncan Swain | 16.3% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Alexander Giordano | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 23.3% | 24.3% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 17.8% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.