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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+4.56vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.24+5.80vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+3.62vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.86+4.77vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.34+1.56vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.10+3.64vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.58+2.84vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.85-2.29vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.79-1.44vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.38-3.11vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-3.67vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-2.49vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.81-2.91vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.32-1.38vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.17-4.10vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.20-1.84vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.43-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56Yale University2.7312.7%1st Place
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7.8Bowdoin College2.246.5%1st Place
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6.62Harvard University2.478.1%1st Place
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8.77Roger Williams University1.865.5%1st Place
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6.56Boston College2.348.9%1st Place
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9.64University of Rhode Island2.104.5%1st Place
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9.84University of Vermont1.583.9%1st Place
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5.71Brown University2.8510.8%1st Place
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7.56Boston University1.796.8%1st Place
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6.89Dartmouth College2.389.2%1st Place
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7.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.177.2%1st Place
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9.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.4%1st Place
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10.09Tufts University1.813.4%1st Place
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12.62Salve Regina University1.322.3%1st Place
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10.9Northeastern University1.173.2%1st Place
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14.16Maine Maritime Academy0.200.9%1st Place
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13.46Connecticut College0.431.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| William Michels | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| John Ped | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Talia Toland | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 17.6% | 16.7% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 5.7% |
| Ella Beauregard | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 19.1% | 35.6% |
| Andrew Powers | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 18.4% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.