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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+4.11vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.67+6.32vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.47+2.66vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.67+1.16vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.11+1.77vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+2.05vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-2.01vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.76+0.01vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.78-0.81vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia2.39-0.71vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.71+0.70vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia1.70-0.26vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.73-4.67vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.82-2.52vs Predicted
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15William and Mary0.84-1.09vs Predicted
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16Hampton University2.28-6.17vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-0.81-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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8.32George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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5.66Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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5.16Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.77Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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4.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.19George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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9.29University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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11.7Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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11.74University of Virginia1.700.0%1st Place
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8.33Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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11.48Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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13.91William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
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9.83Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
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16.46Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Quinn | 14.6% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sean Golden | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Augie Dale | 14.0% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Sam White | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Craven | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 2.9% |
| Rodman Brown | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 18.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Anders Hudson | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 1.6% |
| Samuel Keesee | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 36.4% | 11.7% |
| Veronica Maccari | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 10.1% | 79.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.