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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+5.90vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.40+6.56vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.94+5.67vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.77+4.74vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.12+3.14vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.31+0.52vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.08+1.56vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-1.73vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.92-0.22vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.34-2.16vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.95-2.51vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.65-2.53vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.24-1.59vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.31-2.85vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-7.92vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.48-2.31vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.71-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.9Yale University2.429.2%1st Place
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8.56Brown University2.406.0%1st Place
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8.67Roger Williams University1.945.3%1st Place
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8.74University of Rhode Island1.775.8%1st Place
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8.14Tufts University2.125.3%1st Place
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6.52Harvard University2.3110.2%1st Place
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8.56Bowdoin College2.086.0%1st Place
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6.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.9%1st Place
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8.78Connecticut College1.925.9%1st Place
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7.84Boston College2.346.3%1st Place
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8.49Dartmouth College1.956.1%1st Place
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9.47Boston University1.654.8%1st Place
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11.41Northeastern University1.242.6%1st Place
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11.15Salve Regina University1.313.2%1st Place
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7.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.4%1st Place
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13.69Maine Maritime Academy0.481.7%1st Place
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12.73University of Vermont0.712.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Jack Murphy | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Micky Munns | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Zachary York | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 38.6% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.