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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+4.09vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+5.80vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+2.04vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.47+1.73vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.11+1.75vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia1.70+5.91vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.67-1.96vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.28+1.62vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.73-0.62vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.67-1.68vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.76-2.77vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.71-0.29vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.78-4.89vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia2.39-4.48vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.82-3.68vs Predicted
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16William and Mary0.84-1.99vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-0.81-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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7.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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5.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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5.73Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.75Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
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11.91University of Virginia1.700.0%1st Place
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5.04Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.62Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
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8.38Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
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8.32George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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11.71Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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8.11George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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11.32Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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14.01William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
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16.43Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Quinn | 14.7% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 13.7% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rodman Brown | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 2.9% |
| Augie Dale | 13.0% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 2.8% |
| Sam White | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Anders Hudson | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 1.6% |
| Samuel Keesee | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 15.8% | 35.1% | 12.3% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 10.8% | 79.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.