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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+5.22vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.95+6.57vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.65+6.51vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.31+2.53vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.42+1.94vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.40+2.74vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.77+1.96vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.34-0.32vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-1.99vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.08-1.50vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.92-2.21vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.31-1.00vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.94-4.34vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.12-5.94vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.24-3.69vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.71-3.30vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.48-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.0%1st Place
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8.57Dartmouth College1.955.1%1st Place
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9.51Boston University1.654.7%1st Place
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6.53Harvard University2.3110.2%1st Place
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6.94Yale University2.428.9%1st Place
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8.74Brown University2.405.6%1st Place
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8.96University of Rhode Island1.775.5%1st Place
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7.68Boston College2.348.2%1st Place
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7.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.6%1st Place
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8.5Bowdoin College2.085.8%1st Place
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8.79Connecticut College1.925.6%1st Place
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11.0Salve Regina University1.313.8%1st Place
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8.66Roger Williams University1.945.0%1st Place
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8.06Tufts University2.127.0%1st Place
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11.31Northeastern University1.243.1%1st Place
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12.7University of Vermont0.711.9%1st Place
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13.8Maine Maritime Academy0.481.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Micky Munns | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.7% |
| Henry Burnes | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Jack DeNatale | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.6% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.6% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 11.7% | 16.8% | 21.2% |
| Zachary York | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 16.2% | 37.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.