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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.31+5.44vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.34+5.92vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+3.29vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.42+2.72vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.08+3.35vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.77+2.97vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.12+1.11vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.86vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.95-0.55vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.40-1.31vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.94-2.06vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.92-3.26vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.65-3.51vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.24-2.63vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.71-2.36vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.31-5.12vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.48-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.44Harvard University2.3110.1%1st Place
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7.92Boston College2.346.4%1st Place
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6.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.7%1st Place
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6.72Yale University2.429.2%1st Place
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8.35Bowdoin College2.086.0%1st Place
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8.97University of Rhode Island1.775.5%1st Place
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8.11Tufts University2.126.5%1st Place
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7.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.4%1st Place
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8.45Dartmouth College1.957.2%1st Place
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8.69Brown University2.405.9%1st Place
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8.94Roger Williams University1.945.3%1st Place
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8.74Connecticut College1.925.2%1st Place
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9.49Boston University1.655.0%1st Place
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11.37Northeastern University1.242.4%1st Place
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12.64University of Vermont0.712.1%1st Place
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10.88Salve Regina University1.313.5%1st Place
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13.86Maine Maritime Academy0.481.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Micky Munns | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 10.5% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 16.5% | 21.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.0% |
| Zachary York | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 15.0% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.