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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+4.53vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.11+4.92vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.67+2.10vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+1.15vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+2.79vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-0.54vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia2.39+2.55vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.28+1.72vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.78-0.74vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University2.21+0.05vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.73-2.52vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.76-3.85vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.67-4.40vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.71-2.08vs Predicted
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15William and Mary0.84-1.03vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia1.70-4.11vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-0.81-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.92Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
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5.1Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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5.46St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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9.55University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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9.72Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
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8.26George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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10.05Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.48Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.6George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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11.92Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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13.97William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
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11.89University of Virginia1.700.0%1st Place
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16.47Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 13.0% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Augie Dale | 13.0% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 13.8% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Chase Quinn | 12.0% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Veronica Maccari | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Sam White | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Austin Powers | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 0.7% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 2.1% |
| Samuel Keesee | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 14.5% | 37.6% | 12.9% |
| Rodman Brown | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 2.5% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 10.2% | 79.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.