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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+5.74vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.12+5.99vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.34+4.82vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.40+5.00vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.77+3.92vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.65+3.51vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.31-0.55vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.86vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.92-0.14vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.08-1.65vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-4.75vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.94-3.31vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.71-0.40vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.31-3.18vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.95-6.35vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.69-4.58vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.48-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Yale University2.428.5%1st Place
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7.99Tufts University2.126.2%1st Place
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7.82Boston College2.347.0%1st Place
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9.0Brown University2.405.2%1st Place
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8.92University of Rhode Island1.775.6%1st Place
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9.51Boston University1.654.7%1st Place
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6.45Harvard University2.319.7%1st Place
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7.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.3%1st Place
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8.86Connecticut College1.925.9%1st Place
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8.35Bowdoin College2.086.6%1st Place
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6.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.2%1st Place
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8.69Roger Williams University1.945.8%1st Place
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12.6University of Vermont0.712.2%1st Place
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10.82Salve Regina University1.313.1%1st Place
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8.65Dartmouth College1.955.7%1st Place
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11.42Northeastern University1.693.3%1st Place
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13.8Maine Maritime Academy0.481.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Micky Munns | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 3.6% |
| Henry Burnes | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 11.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 16.3% | 22.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.6% |
| Zachary York | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 16.4% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.