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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+5.30vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.31+4.65vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.92+5.79vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.12+4.08vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.40+3.62vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.34+1.98vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.77+1.96vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.94+0.80vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.42-2.22vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.65-0.33vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.69+0.68vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.71+0.61vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.08-4.57vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.95-5.40vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.31-4.00vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-8.96vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.30-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.8%1st Place
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6.65Harvard University2.319.8%1st Place
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8.79Connecticut College1.925.4%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University2.126.7%1st Place
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8.62Brown University2.406.3%1st Place
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7.98Boston College2.346.8%1st Place
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8.96University of Rhode Island1.775.1%1st Place
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8.8Roger Williams University1.945.9%1st Place
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6.78Yale University2.429.3%1st Place
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9.67Boston University1.654.7%1st Place
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11.68Northeastern University1.692.4%1st Place
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12.61University of Vermont0.711.5%1st Place
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8.43Bowdoin College2.087.0%1st Place
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8.6Dartmouth College1.955.0%1st Place
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11.0Salve Regina University1.314.0%1st Place
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7.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.8%1st Place
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13.03Maine Maritime Academy0.301.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Micky Munns | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 13.5% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 23.6% |
| Christopher Lukens | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Mott Blair | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.