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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.67+3.94vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.11+4.93vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.47+2.72vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+1.45vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.73+3.13vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-0.83vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.21+3.15vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.28+1.69vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-0.85vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.76-1.92vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.78-2.72vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.67-3.56vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia1.70-1.04vs Predicted
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14William and Mary0.84+0.09vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.71-3.25vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia2.39-6.39vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-0.81-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Old Dominion University3.670.2%1st Place
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6.93Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
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5.72Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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5.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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8.13Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
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5.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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10.15Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.69Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Naval Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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8.28George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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8.44George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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11.96University of Virginia1.700.0%1st Place
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14.09William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
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11.75Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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9.61University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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16.46Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 15.6% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chase Quinn | 12.9% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Bradley Adam | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 0.6% |
| Veronica Maccari | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 4.6% | 0.2% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sam White | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Rodman Brown | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 18.2% | 12.7% | 4.0% |
| Samuel Keesee | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 40.7% | 11.7% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 2.4% |
| Christopher Craven | 3.4% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 10.5% | 79.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.