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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.34+7.00vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.10vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.31+3.57vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.77+4.91vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.40+3.75vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+0.16vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.12+1.24vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.92+0.76vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.71+3.55vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.42-3.09vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.08-2.26vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.31-0.98vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.95-4.31vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.65-4.55vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.69-3.67vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.30-2.97vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.94-8.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0Boston College2.348.0%1st Place
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7.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.6%1st Place
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6.57Harvard University2.3110.2%1st Place
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8.91University of Rhode Island1.775.5%1st Place
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8.75Brown University2.405.2%1st Place
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6.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.6%1st Place
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8.24Tufts University2.126.0%1st Place
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8.76Connecticut College1.925.3%1st Place
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12.55University of Vermont0.712.2%1st Place
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6.91Yale University2.429.2%1st Place
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8.74Bowdoin College2.085.0%1st Place
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11.02Salve Regina University1.313.4%1st Place
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8.69Dartmouth College1.955.7%1st Place
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9.45Boston University1.654.9%1st Place
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11.33Northeastern University1.692.8%1st Place
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13.03Maine Maritime Academy0.301.6%1st Place
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8.8Roger Williams University1.946.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Henry Burnes | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 23.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Micky Munns | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 13.6% |
| Mott Blair | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 28.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.