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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+4.59vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.11+4.87vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.76+5.17vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+1.40vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.67-0.02vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+2.15vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia2.39+2.48vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.28+1.70vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University2.21+1.35vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.73-1.78vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-5.82vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.78-3.92vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia1.70-1.07vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.67-5.36vs Predicted
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15William and Mary0.84-1.00vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.71-4.18vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-0.81-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.59Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.87Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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5.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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4.98Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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9.48University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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9.7Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
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10.35Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.22Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
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5.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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8.08George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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11.93University of Virginia1.700.0%1st Place
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8.64George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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14.0William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
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11.82Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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16.47Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 12.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Chase Quinn | 11.8% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Augie Dale | 14.0% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Veronica Maccari | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 4.7% | 0.1% |
| Austin Powers | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 0.9% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Adam | 14.7% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam White | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Rodman Brown | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 3.8% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Keesee | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 38.5% | 12.2% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 2.4% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 10.1% | 79.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.