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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.40+7.88vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.25vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.12+5.16vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.94+4.77vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.08+3.46vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.65+3.38vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.31-0.42vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.71+4.65vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.77+0.05vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.42-3.21vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-3.88vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.30+0.91vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.31-2.04vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.92-5.05vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.24-3.48vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College1.95-7.35vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.34-9.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.88Brown University2.405.3%1st Place
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6.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.7%1st Place
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8.16Tufts University2.126.3%1st Place
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8.77Roger Williams University1.945.9%1st Place
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8.46Bowdoin College2.085.8%1st Place
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9.38Boston University1.654.8%1st Place
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6.58Harvard University2.3110.2%1st Place
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12.65University of Vermont0.712.1%1st Place
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9.05University of Rhode Island1.775.0%1st Place
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6.79Yale University2.428.8%1st Place
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7.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.6%1st Place
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12.91Maine Maritime Academy0.302.0%1st Place
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10.96Salve Regina University1.313.4%1st Place
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8.95Connecticut College1.925.1%1st Place
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11.52Northeastern University1.242.5%1st Place
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8.65Dartmouth College1.955.5%1st Place
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7.92Boston College2.347.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
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Jack Murphy | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
Colman Schofield | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Trevor Davis | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
Mathieu Dale | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
Christopher Lukens | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
Micky Munns | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
Henry Burnes | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
Ryan Hamilton | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 24.9% |
Parker Colantuono | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
Carmen Cowles | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Sam Bruce | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
Mott Blair | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 27.4% |
Nils Tullberg | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% |
CJ Mckenna | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
Caleb Niles | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 13.4% |
Oliver Hurwitz | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
Jack DeNatale | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.