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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+5.00vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.29+3.24vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.42+5.26vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.76+3.13vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.50-0.37vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+2.12vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.27+1.80vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-3.03vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-3.27vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.47+1.48vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University2.24-2.01vs Predicted
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12Princeton University1.09+0.72vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College1.19-0.49vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia1.99-4.08vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.77-4.56vs Predicted
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16William and Mary0.87-2.58vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.39-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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5.24Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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7.13Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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4.63Old Dominion University3.500.2%1st Place
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8.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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8.8Old Dominion University2.270.0%1st Place
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4.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.2%1st Place
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5.73St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
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11.48George Washington University1.470.0%1st Place
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8.99Christopher Newport University2.240.0%1st Place
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12.72Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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12.51SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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10.44George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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13.42William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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14.62University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| AJ Reiter | 12.8% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 16.1% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jason Bankert | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Charles Lomax | 15.1% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 8.7% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Oleson | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 6.5% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Robert Whitaker | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 14.6% |
| Andrew Hall | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 12.3% |
| Samuel Patterson | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Jay Spector | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 18.8% | 19.4% |
| Colleen Roney | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 18.2% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.