Race 8B

sherman-hoyt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Parker Colantuono 5.2% 6.2% 4.3% 5.2% 5.9% 5.7% 6.3% 6.5% 6.4% 6.0% 6.8% 7.1% 7.4% 6.5% 6.0% 5.4% 2.9%
Jack Murphy 5.9% 5.5% 5.2% 5.9% 5.5% 6.3% 5.8% 6.0% 6.9% 6.3% 6.2% 6.8% 7.8% 7.1% 6.2% 4.0% 2.5%
Micky Munns 5.1% 4.9% 5.1% 5.3% 5.7% 5.7% 5.1% 5.7% 5.7% 6.3% 6.5% 8.1% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 6.3% 3.7%
Henry Burnes 9.8% 10.3% 8.2% 9.8% 8.0% 7.3% 8.0% 7.1% 6.5% 5.3% 5.5% 4.9% 4.3% 2.0% 1.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Jack DeNatale 7.7% 7.0% 7.8% 7.3% 6.8% 6.4% 7.3% 7.3% 6.3% 6.5% 5.9% 5.8% 5.0% 4.2% 4.8% 2.6% 1.3%
Ryan Hamilton 1.6% 1.8% 2.1% 1.7% 2.8% 3.1% 3.0% 3.1% 3.5% 4.2% 4.3% 5.2% 6.2% 8.2% 9.0% 16.5% 23.8%
CJ Mckenna 5.1% 5.7% 6.2% 4.7% 5.5% 6.3% 5.8% 7.2% 6.3% 7.0% 7.8% 6.8% 5.8% 5.9% 6.7% 3.9% 3.4%
Carmen Cowles 7.8% 9.4% 8.7% 7.8% 8.6% 8.2% 8.0% 7.3% 7.0% 6.2% 4.9% 5.1% 3.6% 3.5% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3%
Oliver Hurwitz 6.7% 5.7% 6.0% 6.5% 5.9% 5.7% 5.5% 6.6% 6.5% 6.9% 6.2% 7.0% 5.4% 6.2% 6.3% 4.4% 2.5%
Sam Bruce 8.6% 8.3% 8.2% 7.4% 8.2% 7.5% 7.1% 7.1% 7.1% 5.7% 5.9% 4.8% 5.0% 4.0% 2.8% 1.6% 0.5%
Trevor Davis 7.1% 7.0% 6.3% 6.6% 7.0% 6.8% 7.0% 6.8% 6.2% 6.4% 6.0% 5.5% 6.7% 6.5% 4.0% 2.5% 1.6%
Mathieu Dale 5.1% 5.9% 6.3% 5.9% 5.8% 6.5% 5.9% 5.6% 7.0% 7.1% 6.9% 6.9% 5.9% 5.7% 5.8% 5.3% 2.6%
Christopher Lukens 6.4% 4.5% 6.2% 7.7% 5.9% 7.3% 6.7% 6.6% 6.3% 6.6% 6.8% 5.8% 6.6% 5.7% 5.0% 4.0% 2.1%
Colman Schofield 9.4% 9.8% 9.6% 9.3% 8.6% 7.7% 7.6% 6.0% 6.9% 5.9% 5.6% 4.2% 3.6% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4%
Caleb Niles 3.6% 2.6% 3.9% 3.2% 3.9% 2.8% 3.8% 4.0% 3.5% 4.5% 4.9% 5.9% 8.0% 9.4% 10.1% 13.7% 12.3%
Mott Blair 2.5% 1.9% 1.8% 2.1% 2.1% 2.5% 3.2% 2.7% 3.2% 3.7% 4.2% 5.1% 4.7% 6.2% 10.4% 14.5% 29.1%
Nils Tullberg 2.4% 3.3% 4.0% 3.7% 4.0% 4.2% 4.0% 4.5% 4.7% 5.5% 5.7% 5.2% 7.0% 9.2% 9.6% 12.3% 10.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.