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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.29+4.16vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+2.91vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.50+1.68vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+3.96vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.24+3.69vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-0.32vs Predicted
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7Hampton University3.02-0.85vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.27+0.63vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.76-1.82vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.47+1.48vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia1.99-1.17vs Predicted
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12Princeton University1.09+0.68vs Predicted
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13William and Mary0.87+0.29vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.42-5.69vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.39-0.60vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.77-5.49vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.83-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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4.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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4.68Old Dominion University3.500.2%1st Place
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7.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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8.69Christopher Newport University2.240.0%1st Place
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5.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
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6.15Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.63Old Dominion University2.270.1%1st Place
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7.18Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.48George Washington University1.470.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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12.68Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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13.29William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Naval Academy2.420.0%1st Place
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14.4University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
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10.51George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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13.46Christopher Newport University0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Reiter | 14.3% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 13.6% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 15.2% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 3.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Tara | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Bankert | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Madison Oleson | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 5.1% |
| Samuel Patterson | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Robert Whitaker | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 12.5% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 18.8% |
| James Morgan | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Colleen Roney | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 37.0% |
| Jay Spector | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| Hannah Cantolino | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 19.7% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.