← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University2.27+7.55vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University1.77+8.44vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+4.90vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+1.61vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University2.24+3.61vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.42+2.39vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-2.06vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.76-1.04vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University3.29-3.57vs Predicted
-
10William and Mary0.87+3.27vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University3.50-6.17vs Predicted
-
12University of Virginia1.99-2.30vs Predicted
-
13Hampton University3.02-6.75vs Predicted
-
14Princeton University1.09-1.24vs Predicted
-
15University of Virginia0.39-0.62vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University1.47-4.47vs Predicted
-
17Christopher Newport University0.83-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.55Old Dominion University2.270.1%1st Place
-
10.44George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
-
7.9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
-
5.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
-
8.61Christopher Newport University2.240.0%1st Place
-
8.39U. S. Naval Academy2.420.0%1st Place
-
4.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
6.96Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
5.43Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
-
13.27William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
-
4.83Old Dominion University3.500.2%1st Place
-
9.7University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
-
6.25Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
-
12.76Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
-
14.38University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
-
11.53George Washington University1.470.0%1st Place
-
13.43Christopher Newport University0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Bankert | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jay Spector | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 2.2% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Tara | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| James Morgan | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Charles Lomax | 13.4% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| AJ Reiter | 10.3% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 16.2% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 15.4% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patterson | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Robert Whitaker | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 12.9% |
| Colleen Roney | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 38.6% |
| Madison Oleson | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 6.5% |
| Hannah Cantolino | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 19.9% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.