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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+5.83vs Predicted
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2Hampton University3.02+4.00vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+2.49vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+3.97vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.24+3.67vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.29-0.52vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.27+1.76vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-3.06vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.50-4.15vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.42-1.88vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.77-0.43vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia0.39+2.46vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia1.99-3.17vs Predicted
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14Princeton University1.09-1.21vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.47-3.56vs Predicted
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16William and Mary0.87-2.63vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.83-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.0Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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5.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
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7.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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8.67Christopher Newport University2.240.0%1st Place
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5.48Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.76Old Dominion University2.270.0%1st Place
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4.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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4.85Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.12U. S. Naval Academy2.420.0%1st Place
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10.57George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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14.46University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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12.79Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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11.44George Washington University1.470.0%1st Place
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13.37William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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13.42Christopher Newport University0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Edwards | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| AJ Reiter | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Bankert | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Charles Lomax | 14.7% | 15.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 12.2% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jay Spector | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Colleen Roney | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 19.8% | 36.4% |
| Samuel Patterson | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Robert Whitaker | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 12.4% |
| Madison Oleson | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 5.7% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 18.5% |
| Hannah Cantolino | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 15.4% | 18.1% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.