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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.53+2.24vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.00+2.33vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-0.26vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.20+1.05vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.00+0.38vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.21-1.04vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.59-0.65vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.10-4.98vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.53-4.74vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.76-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24Brown University3.530.3%1st Place
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4.33Eckerd College3.000.1%1st Place
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3.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.2%1st Place
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6.05Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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6.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.000.1%1st Place
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5.96Boston University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.35University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
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4.02Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
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5.26Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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8.67University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Adler | 25.1% | 19.7% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 13.3% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 18.1% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Emily McNeil | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 5.5% |
| Jillian Reddy | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 8.3% |
| Erica Lush | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 6.8% |
| Sara Anibal | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 22.7% | 19.0% |
| Genoa Warner | 13.9% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Caitlin Watson | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 16.3% | 55.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.