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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.29+4.15vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+5.79vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+2.01vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.42+4.18vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.50-0.43vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-0.39vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.47+4.33vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.87+4.87vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.76-1.86vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia1.99-0.44vs Predicted
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11Hampton University3.02-4.81vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.27-3.37vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.77-2.56vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University2.24-5.12vs Predicted
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15Princeton University1.09-2.58vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.83-2.75vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia-0.61-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.79St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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5.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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4.57Old Dominion University3.500.2%1st Place
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5.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
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11.33George Washington University1.470.0%1st Place
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12.87William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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7.14Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.56University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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6.19Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.63Old Dominion University2.270.0%1st Place
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10.44George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.88Christopher Newport University2.240.0%1st Place
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12.42Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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13.25Christopher Newport University0.830.0%1st Place
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15.99University of Virginia-0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Reiter | 13.4% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 13.3% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 15.6% | 17.3% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 10.5% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madison Oleson | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 2.1% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 17.5% | 21.2% | 10.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patterson | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Bankert | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Jay Spector | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Robert Whitaker | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 6.9% |
| Hannah Cantolino | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 21.9% | 10.6% |
| Callie Hern | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 13.7% | 66.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.