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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+3.89vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+4.83vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.29+2.25vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.42+4.18vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.09+7.30vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+2.04vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.27+1.65vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-2.57vs Predicted
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9Hampton University3.02-2.74vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.50-5.39vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.47+0.44vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University2.24-3.37vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia1.99-3.26vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.83-0.72vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.77-4.64vs Predicted
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16William and Mary0.87-2.86vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia-0.61-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.2%1st Place
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6.83Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.25Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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12.3Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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8.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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8.65Old Dominion University2.270.0%1st Place
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5.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
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6.26Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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4.61Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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11.44George Washington University1.470.0%1st Place
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8.63Christopher Newport University2.240.0%1st Place
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9.74University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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13.28Christopher Newport University0.830.0%1st Place
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10.36George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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13.14William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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15.96University of Virginia-0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 15.4% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| AJ Reiter | 12.4% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Robert Whitaker | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 6.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jason Bankert | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Tara | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 14.9% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madison Oleson | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 3.7% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Patterson | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Hannah Cantolino | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 18.3% | 24.4% | 10.1% |
| Jay Spector | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 21.8% | 9.2% |
| Callie Hern | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 12.4% | 67.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.