← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+6.68vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.76+4.88vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+2.54vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.42+4.17vs Predicted
-
5Hampton University3.02+0.95vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University2.27+2.81vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University3.29-1.72vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-3.03vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University1.47+2.47vs Predicted
-
10George Washington University1.77+0.26vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University2.24-2.19vs Predicted
-
12University of Virginia1.99-2.39vs Predicted
-
13Christopher Newport University0.83+0.17vs Predicted
-
14Princeton University1.09-1.38vs Predicted
-
15University of Virginia-0.61+0.84vs Predicted
-
16William and Mary0.87-2.85vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University3.50-12.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
-
6.88Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
5.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
-
8.17U. S. Naval Academy2.420.0%1st Place
-
5.95Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
-
8.81Old Dominion University2.270.0%1st Place
-
5.28Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
-
4.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
11.47George Washington University1.470.0%1st Place
-
10.26George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
-
8.81Christopher Newport University2.240.0%1st Place
-
9.61University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
-
13.17Christopher Newport University0.830.0%1st Place
-
12.62Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
-
15.84University of Virginia-0.610.0%1st Place
-
13.15William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
-
4.79Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Golison | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Tara | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| James Morgan | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jason Bankert | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| AJ Reiter | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 14.9% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Oleson | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 3.8% |
| Jay Spector | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 0.9% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Patterson | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Cantolino | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 22.7% | 10.7% |
| Robert Whitaker | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 18.4% | 7.4% |
| Callie Hern | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 14.7% | 65.2% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 18.7% | 18.8% | 10.1% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 13.5% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.