← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+2.60vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.20+4.06vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College3.00+1.37vs Predicted
-
4Boston University2.21+2.01vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.00+1.38vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.53-3.75vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.10-3.90vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont1.59-1.75vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University2.53-4.70vs Predicted
-
12University of New Hampshire0.76-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.2%1st Place
-
6.06Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
-
4.37Eckerd College3.000.1%1st Place
-
6.01Boston University2.210.1%1st Place
-
6.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.000.1%1st Place
-
3.25Brown University3.530.2%1st Place
-
4.1Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
-
7.25University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
-
5.3Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
-
8.67University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Proctor | 19.3% | 19.8% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Emily McNeil | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 6.3% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 13.9% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Erica Lush | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 6.0% |
| Jillian Reddy | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 19.2% | 14.7% | 9.3% |
| Jennifer Adler | 23.2% | 20.3% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Genoa Warner | 13.0% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Sara Anibal | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 23.8% | 18.6% |
| Caitlin Watson | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 3.1% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 17.1% | 54.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.