← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University0.03+2.04vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University1.81-0.54vs Predicted
-
3University of Oregon-0.82+0.86vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University0.83-1.76vs Predicted
-
5University of Oregon-1.68-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.04Western Washington University0.038.8%1st Place
-
1.46Western Washington University1.8164.2%1st Place
-
3.86University of Oregon-0.824.0%1st Place
-
2.24Western Washington University0.8321.3%1st Place
-
4.41University of Oregon-1.681.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Hurley | 8.8% | 18.2% | 40.7% | 24.9% | 7.3% |
| Leif Hauge | 64.2% | 26.9% | 7.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Creemer | 4.0% | 7.6% | 16.6% | 42.5% | 29.3% |
| Alexander Turloff | 21.3% | 43.5% | 26.4% | 7.6% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 1.7% | 3.8% | 8.6% | 23.7% | 62.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.