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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.70+2.63vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.24+2.74vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.54+1.02vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.49+0.03vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.72+4.30vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.52+2.71vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04+0.13vs Predicted
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9Clemson University1.88-3.23vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.38-3.05vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University0.23-0.43vs Predicted
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12The Citadel0.42-1.94vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-0.62+0.60vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.50-4.36vs Predicted
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15Rollins College-0.30-2.58vs Predicted
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16University of Florida-0.36-3.62vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80-0.82vs Predicted
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18Auburn University-1.38-2.85vs Predicted
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19University of Georgia-1.71-2.94vs Predicted
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20Vanderbilt University-2.78-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63Eckerd College2.700.2%1st Place
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4.74University of South Florida2.240.1%1st Place
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4.02Jacksonville University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.03College of Charleston2.490.2%1st Place
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9.3Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Miami0.520.0%1st Place
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8.13University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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5.77Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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6.95North Carolina State University1.380.1%1st Place
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10.57Embry-Riddle University0.230.0%1st Place
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10.06The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
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13.6University of North Carolina-0.620.0%1st Place
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9.64Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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12.42Rollins College-0.300.0%1st Place
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12.38University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
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16.18Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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15.15Auburn University-1.380.0%1st Place
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16.06University of Georgia-1.710.0%1st Place
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17.65Vanderbilt University-2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Siemers | 20.2% | 18.0% | 17.3% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 13.3% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 17.3% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Blacker | 15.8% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Katsis | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Scarfone | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kailey Savacool | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Taylor | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Elisabeth Whitener | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 6.5% | 1.6% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bernardo Pineda | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Monson | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| James Elder | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 18.6% | 26.0% | 16.8% |
| Sullivan Madewell | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 18.3% | 8.5% |
| Michael Stolorena | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 22.3% | 16.0% |
| Stephen Petty Valenzuela | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 55.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.