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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.54+2.96vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.72+7.12vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.49+1.09vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.24+0.62vs Predicted
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6Clemson University1.88-0.27vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.70-3.38vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.52+1.75vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University0.23+1.87vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-0.62+3.13vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.42-1.04vs Predicted
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12University of Florida-0.36+0.59vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04-4.63vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.38-7.08vs Predicted
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15Rollins College-0.30-2.51vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-1.38-0.90vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80-0.80vs Predicted
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18Florida State University0.50-8.25vs Predicted
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19University of Georgia-1.71-2.94vs Predicted
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20Vanderbilt University-2.78-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96Jacksonville University2.540.2%1st Place
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9.12Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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4.09College of Charleston2.490.2%1st Place
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4.62University of South Florida2.240.1%1st Place
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5.73Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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3.62Eckerd College2.700.2%1st Place
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9.75University of Miami0.520.0%1st Place
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10.87Embry-Riddle University0.230.0%1st Place
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13.13University of North Carolina-0.620.0%1st Place
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9.96The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
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12.59University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
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8.37University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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6.92North Carolina State University1.380.1%1st Place
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12.49Rollins College-0.300.0%1st Place
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15.1Auburn University-1.380.0%1st Place
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16.2Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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9.75Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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16.06University of Georgia-1.710.0%1st Place
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17.67Vanderbilt University-2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Ikeda | 16.2% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Katsis | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Blacker | 18.4% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 12.0% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 21.8% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Scarfone | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Taylor | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Elisabeth Whitener | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| Robert Marshall | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Monson | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Kailey Savacool | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bernardo Pineda | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Sullivan Madewell | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 17.6% | 9.9% |
| James Elder | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 21.3% | 26.0% | 16.3% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stolorena | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 19.6% | 21.6% | 15.8% |
| Stephen Petty Valenzuela | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 18.4% | 55.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.