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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+1.71vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.53+0.32vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College3.00+0.44vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.21+1.09vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.20-0.96vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.81-3.27vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.00-2.43vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.10-5.90vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.59-3.68vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.76-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.2%1st Place
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3.32Brown University3.530.2%1st Place
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4.44Eckerd College3.000.1%1st Place
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6.09Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.04Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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4.73Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.000.0%1st Place
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4.1Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
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8.69University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Proctor | 18.9% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Jennifer Adler | 23.5% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 12.6% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Erica Lush | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 6.5% |
| Emily McNeil | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 5.6% |
| Morgan Russom | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Jillian Reddy | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 16.8% | 10.2% |
| Genoa Warner | 14.4% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Sara Anibal | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 24.7% | 18.8% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 15.9% | 55.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.