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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.56+6.71vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+3.99vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.63+4.63vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.75+3.31vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+1.43vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+1.78vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.23+1.72vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.38-2.77vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-3.81vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.33-1.27vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99+1.19vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.34-3.40vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-6.63vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-6.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.71Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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5.99Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.63Roger Williams University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.31Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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8.72University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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5.23Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.19Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.73Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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12.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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8.6Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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6.37University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.14Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Koos | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Abby Preston | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 3.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 4.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 8.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 13.4% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 14.2% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 7.5% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 56.2% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 6.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.