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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+4.06vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+4.18vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.38+2.17vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+2.39vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+1.39vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.23+3.07vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.75-0.06vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.63-0.42vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.56-1.07vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.33-1.24vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-3.68vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.34-3.39vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-0.95vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.18University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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5.17Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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6.39Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.07University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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6.94Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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7.58Roger Williams University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.93Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.76Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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7.32Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.61Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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12.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 13.1% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 13.1% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 9.8% |
| Liz Dubovik | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 1.7% |
| Abby Preston | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 4.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 7.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.9% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 14.0% | 54.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.