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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+5.21vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+3.02vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.42+2.05vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99+2.50vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+2.85vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+1.40vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56+0.59vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.75-0.81vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.34-0.39vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.05-3.68vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.63-3.28vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.23-3.06vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.33-4.48vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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5.02Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.05Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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7.4Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.59Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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7.19Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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8.61Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.32Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.72Roger Williams University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.94University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.52Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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12.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 14.4% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 13.5% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 4.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 2.9% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Liz Dubovik | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Elise Gehling | 5.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 6.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Abby Preston | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 15.3% | 8.6% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 6.4% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.