Race 4A

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Rosalind Lesh 8.9% 9.6% 9.0% 9.8% 9.7% 7.9% 8.1% 8.8% 6.8% 5.7% 6.0% 3.8% 4.6% 1.3%
Courtney Koos 6.3% 7.3% 6.1% 7.0% 6.4% 6.8% 7.8% 6.5% 8.4% 10.0% 8.1% 8.6% 6.7% 4.0%
Kayla Ellis 6.1% 6.5% 6.6% 7.6% 4.9% 6.4% 6.2% 8.4% 7.8% 8.7% 9.2% 10.0% 7.8% 3.8%
Megan Yeigh 8.1% 9.5% 8.3% 8.8% 8.7% 8.8% 7.9% 8.6% 8.1% 7.2% 6.6% 5.4% 2.8% 1.2%
Abby Preston 5.0% 5.0% 7.8% 7.3% 6.9% 7.5% 8.1% 5.7% 7.8% 8.6% 9.0% 8.8% 7.7% 4.8%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 12.0% 12.2% 12.2% 10.0% 11.0% 8.6% 6.8% 7.2% 6.3% 5.3% 3.4% 3.1% 1.6% 0.3%
Taylor Ladd 8.2% 7.9% 8.2% 6.5% 8.5% 7.2% 7.1% 8.6% 8.4% 7.3% 7.4% 6.8% 6.1% 1.8%
Kate Shaner 5.2% 4.9% 5.2% 5.2% 5.4% 5.8% 6.1% 6.9% 7.7% 8.3% 8.5% 10.3% 12.4% 8.1%
Casey Klingler 9.4% 8.1% 7.0% 10.0% 9.3% 8.5% 10.8% 8.0% 7.6% 6.4% 5.7% 4.2% 3.0% 2.0%
Mackenzie Needham 4.4% 3.3% 4.0% 3.2% 5.5% 7.1% 5.4% 6.9% 7.6% 8.9% 8.6% 10.6% 15.6% 8.9%
Elise Gehling 4.9% 4.3% 3.9% 4.8% 5.0% 6.8% 7.0% 6.4% 8.3% 7.5% 9.8% 12.2% 11.9% 7.2%
Hannah Polster 13.4% 12.3% 11.5% 11.7% 10.0% 9.1% 8.6% 6.7% 5.1% 3.9% 3.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
Priscilla Stoll 1.7% 1.1% 1.5% 0.7% 2.2% 2.4% 1.6% 2.6% 2.3% 4.5% 4.9% 7.0% 13.7% 53.8%
Liz Dubovik 6.4% 8.0% 8.7% 7.4% 6.5% 7.1% 8.5% 8.7% 7.8% 7.7% 9.5% 6.4% 4.9% 2.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.