Race 5A

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Liz Dubovik 6.0% 7.6% 9.0% 7.2% 6.5% 8.0% 8.6% 8.3% 7.7% 8.4% 6.5% 7.0% 6.3% 2.9%
Courtney Koos 6.1% 6.9% 7.1% 6.2% 7.1% 7.2% 6.6% 7.6% 7.0% 10.5% 8.3% 8.5% 6.8% 4.1%
Casey Klingler 9.0% 9.2% 11.0% 8.5% 7.9% 9.0% 8.8% 6.8% 8.0% 6.8% 6.2% 4.3% 3.3% 1.2%
Abby Preston 4.9% 6.7% 5.8% 7.0% 7.9% 6.7% 8.4% 7.5% 7.3% 7.9% 9.1% 9.1% 8.0% 3.7%
Hannah Polster 12.2% 13.2% 11.5% 11.1% 11.4% 8.9% 6.9% 5.8% 6.8% 4.7% 3.7% 1.6% 1.8% 0.4%
Megan Yeigh 9.2% 7.1% 9.6% 7.8% 9.7% 8.4% 7.7% 8.6% 7.0% 7.6% 5.4% 6.8% 3.3% 1.8%
Kate Shaner 5.4% 4.4% 7.0% 5.3% 6.3% 4.7% 6.8% 7.4% 7.5% 8.0% 8.9% 10.3% 11.4% 6.6%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 14.3% 14.2% 8.9% 11.7% 7.9% 9.7% 6.9% 6.0% 6.2% 4.8% 4.6% 3.3% 1.1% 0.4%
Elise Gehling 5.7% 3.3% 3.7% 5.4% 6.0% 4.8% 7.2% 7.3% 8.5% 7.2% 10.6% 11.7% 12.6% 6.0%
Mackenzie Needham 3.8% 3.4% 4.7% 3.4% 5.7% 6.0% 5.8% 8.1% 6.8% 7.6% 8.6% 12.8% 13.8% 9.5%
Taylor Ladd 7.6% 6.5% 6.0% 8.5% 7.4% 7.3% 7.8% 7.6% 9.3% 8.6% 6.5% 6.0% 7.7% 3.2%
Rosalind Lesh 8.3% 9.2% 8.5% 9.7% 8.7% 9.1% 9.3% 7.2% 7.2% 6.3% 6.6% 4.9% 3.3% 1.7%
Kayla Ellis 6.5% 7.2% 5.8% 6.4% 6.0% 7.7% 8.0% 8.9% 7.3% 7.6% 8.8% 7.4% 8.8% 3.6%
Priscilla Stoll 1.0% 1.1% 1.4% 1.8% 1.5% 2.5% 1.2% 2.9% 3.4% 4.0% 6.2% 6.3% 11.8% 54.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.