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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.56+6.70vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.16vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.63+4.66vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+2.32vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.34+3.65vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.42-0.80vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75-0.03vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.75-0.74vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-1.23vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.38-4.71vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.23-1.97vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.99-5.58vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.33-4.49vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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6.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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7.66Roger Williams University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.32Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.65Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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5.2Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.97Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.26Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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7.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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5.29Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.03University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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6.42University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.51Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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12.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Koos | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Abby Preston | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 3.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 7.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 11.5% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 9.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 5.8% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 54.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.