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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.99+5.35vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.33+6.35vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.34+5.60vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+1.30vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+1.39vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+0.42vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56+0.54vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-0.32vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.63-1.31vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.75-2.66vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.42-5.83vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-4.74vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.23-4.15vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.35Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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8.6Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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5.3Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.39Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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7.54Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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7.69Roger Williams University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.34Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.17Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.26Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.85University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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12.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 5.9% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 6.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 2.9% |
| Kayla Ellis | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 4.6% |
| Abby Preston | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.3% |
| Liz Dubovik | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 14.8% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 8.6% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.