← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University2.34+7.47vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.63+5.47vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.75+4.24vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.56+3.96vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.23+4.08vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.05+0.38vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-0.88vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99+3.91vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont2.99-2.45vs Predicted
-
10Boston University3.42-4.88vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-3.24vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College2.75-4.68vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University2.33-4.46vs Predicted
-
14Brown University3.38-8.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.47Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
7.47Roger Williams University2.630.1%1st Place
-
7.24Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
7.96Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
-
9.08University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
-
6.38Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
6.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
11.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
-
6.55University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
5.12Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
7.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
-
7.32Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
-
8.54Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
-
5.07Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elise Gehling | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 5.7% |
| Abby Preston | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 4.5% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 9.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 53.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 12.3% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 13.5% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.