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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.75+6.14vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.13vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+3.43vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+3.78vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.34+3.69vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38-0.66vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75-0.02vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.33+0.54vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-3.83vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.56-2.02vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.63-3.28vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99+0.17vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.23-4.14vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.05-7.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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6.43University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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8.69Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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5.34Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.98Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.54Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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5.17Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.98Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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7.72Roger Williams University2.630.1%1st Place
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12.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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8.86University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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6.08Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Dubovik | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 7.9% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 12.7% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 1.7% |
| Kate Shaner | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 7.9% |
| Hannah Polster | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% |
| Abby Preston | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 3.3% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 53.8% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 9.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.