Race 11A

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Hannah Polster 14.5% 13.1% 12.1% 12.5% 9.4% 7.5% 7.2% 5.6% 6.0% 4.6% 3.3% 2.4% 1.4% 0.4%
Elise Gehling 4.8% 5.5% 5.8% 5.3% 6.2% 5.1% 7.6% 6.9% 7.1% 7.6% 11.0% 11.7% 8.8% 6.6%
Rosalind Lesh 9.7% 9.0% 9.4% 8.2% 8.3% 8.4% 8.4% 6.9% 8.0% 8.2% 5.7% 5.7% 2.8% 1.3%
Taylor Ladd 5.8% 8.2% 5.3% 7.6% 8.2% 7.3% 8.3% 8.9% 8.2% 8.7% 8.3% 6.4% 6.5% 2.3%
Courtney Koos 4.1% 5.2% 7.0% 6.9% 7.1% 6.9% 6.2% 7.6% 7.8% 8.3% 8.5% 10.1% 9.1% 5.2%
Kayla Ellis 6.3% 5.4% 5.9% 5.6% 6.6% 8.2% 7.8% 8.6% 7.1% 9.1% 7.9% 8.2% 9.5% 3.8%
Abby Preston 7.1% 6.9% 7.1% 6.9% 8.3% 6.1% 7.3% 8.2% 8.3% 7.0% 9.2% 7.7% 7.5% 2.4%
Kate Shaner 4.9% 5.2% 5.9% 4.7% 5.8% 5.5% 5.7% 7.0% 8.0% 8.5% 8.9% 10.4% 11.8% 7.7%
Liz Dubovik 7.2% 5.9% 6.1% 7.5% 6.4% 8.5% 7.9% 10.3% 7.1% 8.1% 8.9% 8.0% 5.2% 2.9%
Mackenzie Needham 4.2% 3.7% 3.4% 3.9% 5.1% 6.7% 6.4% 6.4% 7.4% 7.7% 9.4% 11.5% 15.3% 8.9%
Megan Yeigh 8.9% 7.4% 8.9% 10.3% 8.2% 8.5% 7.8% 7.9% 8.0% 7.6% 5.2% 4.9% 4.1% 2.3%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 11.6% 11.9% 12.6% 10.8% 10.7% 9.4% 8.7% 6.6% 5.3% 4.0% 3.1% 3.0% 1.9% 0.4%
Priscilla Stoll 1.6% 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 2.0% 2.5% 1.9% 2.5% 2.6% 3.8% 4.9% 6.8% 13.1% 54.7%
Casey Klingler 9.3% 11.5% 9.3% 8.5% 7.7% 9.4% 8.8% 6.6% 9.1% 6.8% 5.7% 3.2% 3.0% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.