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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.34+7.43vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.75+5.01vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+3.25vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+1.14vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.63+2.76vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+1.29vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38-2.03vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-0.34vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-2.59vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.23-0.90vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.33-2.30vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.99-5.52vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.56-5.25vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.43Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.01Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.25Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.14Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.76Roger Williams University2.630.0%1st Place
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7.29Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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4.97Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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6.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.1University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.7Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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6.48University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.75Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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12.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elise Gehling | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 7.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 12.4% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Abby Preston | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 14.7% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 9.1% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 7.9% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 3.5% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 12.6% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.