← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.42+4.05vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.08vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.38+2.16vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College2.75+3.29vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont2.99+1.60vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.05+0.35vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.63+0.33vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-0.36vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College2.56-1.07vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.33-1.23vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.75-3.68vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.34-3.43vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island2.23-4.15vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.05Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
6.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
5.16Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
7.29Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
-
6.6University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
6.35Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
7.33Roger Williams University2.630.1%1st Place
-
7.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
-
7.93Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
-
8.77Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
-
7.32Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
8.57Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
8.85University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
-
12.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 13.3% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 13.3% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Abby Preston | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 2.7% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 4.4% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 7.6% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 7.9% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 8.0% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 55.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.