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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+4.17vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+3.99vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+4.74vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99+2.47vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.63+2.75vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.34+2.72vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56+0.58vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.42-2.87vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.33-0.32vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.75-2.70vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.23-2.00vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-5.67vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-5.90vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.99Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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6.47University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.75Roger Williams University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.72Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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7.58Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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5.13Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.68Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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7.3Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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9.0University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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6.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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7.1Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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12.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 11.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 3.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Abby Preston | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 3.9% |
| Elise Gehling | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 8.7% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 13.8% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Kate Shaner | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 6.5% |
| Liz Dubovik | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 9.8% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 54.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.