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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.36vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+4.34vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+2.81vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.05+4.82vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.01+0.78vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.30+2.15vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.86+2.11vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.58-0.99vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.59-1.95vs Predicted
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102.44-2.36vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.67-4.13vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.05-3.18vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.29-5.07vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.2%1st Place
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6.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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5.81University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.82Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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5.78Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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8.15Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.11Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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7.01Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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7.642.440.1%1st Place
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6.87Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.82Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.93Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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11.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 18.2% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Laura Dunphy | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% |
| Amina Brown | 9.9% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.5% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 12.5% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Christina Lewis | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Mary Paz | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.1% |
| Emily Casella | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 9.7% | 16.3% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.