Race 3B

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Johanna Kincaid 11.0% 12.4% 10.9% 9.5% 9.9% 9.5% 7.4% 7.4% 5.5% 6.2% 4.1% 3.0% 2.2% 1.0%
Dana Rohde 18.4% 15.9% 13.9% 12.3% 10.0% 9.5% 6.8% 3.7% 3.9% 2.5% 1.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Christina Lewis 6.7% 7.4% 8.5% 7.7% 7.8% 6.8% 7.0% 8.5% 7.9% 8.9% 8.5% 7.0% 5.1% 2.2%
Sophie Bermudez 6.0% 8.6% 7.4% 7.8% 6.8% 8.6% 8.9% 7.8% 7.5% 7.6% 8.1% 6.7% 5.3% 2.9%
Janel DeCurtis 2.9% 3.4% 3.4% 4.6% 5.6% 4.7% 5.2% 6.0% 7.5% 7.8% 9.9% 9.6% 15.7% 13.7%
Mary Paz 6.3% 5.5% 6.1% 6.0% 8.4% 7.5% 7.8% 7.6% 7.9% 8.8% 8.3% 7.5% 7.4% 4.9%
Laura Dunphy 9.9% 8.7% 9.0% 9.6% 7.9% 8.0% 8.2% 8.1% 8.6% 6.7% 5.9% 4.5% 3.8% 1.1%
Alexandra Romagnoli 5.9% 5.8% 7.0% 5.9% 5.3% 6.9% 6.6% 8.8% 8.0% 8.0% 7.1% 9.5% 8.2% 7.0%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 7.6% 6.3% 7.7% 8.6% 8.5% 8.6% 9.1% 9.6% 7.0% 7.0% 8.9% 5.7% 3.4% 2.0%
Kate Levinson 4.9% 5.3% 5.0% 5.5% 7.6% 7.3% 6.9% 7.6% 7.9% 8.6% 9.2% 10.3% 8.4% 5.5%
Lindsey Kennett 3.8% 4.1% 4.0% 5.2% 4.9% 5.7% 7.7% 7.0% 7.4% 8.2% 9.3% 11.6% 10.4% 10.7%
Amina Brown 10.4% 10.1% 11.1% 10.1% 9.4% 9.7% 9.4% 5.2% 6.9% 6.5% 3.7% 3.4% 2.9% 1.2%
Victoria McGruer 4.8% 4.4% 4.3% 5.0% 5.6% 4.9% 6.4% 7.2% 8.6% 8.4% 9.5% 11.4% 10.9% 8.6%
Emily Casella 1.4% 2.1% 1.7% 2.2% 2.3% 2.3% 2.6% 5.5% 5.4% 4.8% 5.8% 9.1% 15.7% 39.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.