Race 4B

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Johanna Kincaid 10.8% 11.9% 11.2% 11.4% 9.9% 8.2% 7.7% 7.1% 5.4% 5.2% 4.9% 3.2% 2.2% 0.9%
Christina Lewis 7.8% 9.6% 7.1% 7.7% 8.0% 7.8% 7.7% 7.9% 9.4% 8.0% 7.6% 5.1% 4.1% 2.2%
Amina Brown 10.9% 10.4% 11.5% 10.2% 7.8% 9.4% 8.4% 6.0% 7.4% 7.2% 4.2% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5%
Victoria McGruer 2.7% 4.0% 5.7% 4.6% 7.1% 5.8% 5.9% 7.0% 6.4% 8.5% 9.9% 10.6% 12.5% 9.3%
Sophie Bermudez 5.8% 6.7% 8.1% 7.9% 7.8% 7.9% 7.9% 8.9% 7.3% 9.3% 8.2% 5.7% 5.3% 3.2%
Kate Levinson 5.2% 5.0% 5.6% 5.8% 6.3% 6.8% 7.7% 8.3% 7.2% 10.0% 8.6% 9.1% 7.9% 6.5%
Dana Rohde 19.9% 16.3% 12.6% 10.2% 11.9% 9.2% 6.2% 4.5% 3.8% 1.9% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Laura Dunphy 8.9% 9.4% 8.3% 8.6% 6.9% 9.1% 8.6% 8.1% 6.9% 5.7% 6.7% 6.0% 4.9% 1.9%
Mary Paz 6.9% 4.3% 7.0% 5.9% 7.2% 8.7% 7.7% 9.2% 8.0% 8.2% 9.2% 9.4% 5.6% 2.7%
Janel DeCurtis 3.5% 2.9% 3.1% 4.0% 5.0% 3.9% 6.3% 5.2% 8.2% 6.8% 10.0% 13.0% 12.9% 15.2%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 7.4% 7.9% 7.5% 9.1% 7.8% 8.7% 8.4% 8.1% 7.9% 7.7% 6.5% 5.7% 4.6% 2.7%
Alexandra Romagnoli 4.6% 5.1% 5.8% 6.6% 7.2% 6.7% 7.4% 8.5% 8.5% 8.0% 7.9% 7.8% 10.0% 5.9%
Lindsey Kennett 4.0% 5.0% 4.8% 5.3% 4.8% 5.5% 6.7% 7.1% 8.1% 8.5% 9.2% 10.4% 11.4% 9.2%
Emily Casella 1.6% 1.5% 1.7% 2.7% 2.3% 2.3% 3.4% 4.1% 5.5% 5.0% 5.3% 8.6% 16.3% 39.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.