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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.00+3.32vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.10+2.20vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.53+0.40vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-0.30vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.76+3.55vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.00+0.51vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.81-3.20vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.21-2.96vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.20-3.90vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.59-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32Eckerd College3.000.1%1st Place
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4.2Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
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3.4Brown University3.530.2%1st Place
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3.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.2%1st Place
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8.55University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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6.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.000.1%1st Place
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4.8Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.04Boston University2.210.1%1st Place
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6.1Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Dorris | 14.8% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Genoa Warner | 14.1% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Adler | 21.7% | 18.9% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 18.2% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 16.2% | 53.5% |
| Jillian Reddy | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 19.4% | 9.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 9.1% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Erica Lush | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 6.5% |
| Emily McNeil | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 6.6% |
| Sara Anibal | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 23.6% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.