Race 6B

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Rebecca Quirke 3.2% 2.5% 3.8% 4.3% 4.0% 6.1% 5.6% 5.4% 6.8% 7.7% 8.5% 11.1% 16.0% 15.0%
Victoria McGruer 3.8% 5.6% 6.2% 5.3% 4.9% 6.9% 5.8% 6.6% 9.0% 7.6% 10.8% 10.3% 8.8% 8.4%
Amina Brown 10.7% 12.1% 10.5% 8.8% 8.7% 9.7% 8.3% 8.8% 6.4% 6.4% 4.3% 2.7% 1.9% 0.7%
Johanna Kincaid 10.0% 12.8% 10.8% 9.6% 10.5% 9.3% 8.0% 7.7% 6.3% 6.3% 3.3% 2.9% 1.9% 0.6%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 6.5% 8.0% 8.5% 10.5% 7.5% 8.5% 8.0% 8.6% 7.3% 7.2% 7.5% 6.1% 4.0% 1.8%
Sophie Bermudez 8.1% 5.3% 8.4% 7.2% 8.8% 7.9% 7.6% 8.7% 8.0% 8.9% 7.3% 5.4% 5.3% 3.1%
Mary Paz 7.1% 7.5% 7.2% 7.3% 7.7% 7.7% 8.2% 8.7% 6.6% 8.3% 8.0% 7.8% 5.6% 2.3%
Dana Rohde 19.2% 16.0% 13.4% 10.9% 9.0% 8.9% 6.3% 4.9% 4.4% 3.6% 1.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Janel DeCurtis 4.6% 3.0% 3.4% 3.8% 4.6% 4.7% 4.9% 6.8% 8.9% 7.7% 9.0% 11.6% 13.0% 14.0%
Christina Lewis 6.9% 6.7% 7.5% 8.9% 9.4% 7.4% 9.4% 8.2% 7.1% 6.2% 9.0% 6.6% 4.2% 2.5%
Kate Levinson 6.1% 5.6% 4.3% 6.2% 7.1% 6.6% 9.0% 7.4% 8.2% 9.5% 8.2% 7.9% 7.8% 6.1%
Laura Dunphy 7.5% 8.3% 8.8% 9.2% 9.5% 7.2% 11.2% 7.7% 7.2% 7.0% 5.7% 5.0% 3.8% 1.9%
Emily Casella 2.1% 1.8% 2.1% 2.3% 2.5% 2.4% 2.7% 4.1% 4.6% 4.8% 6.9% 11.2% 14.8% 37.7%
Lindsey Kennett 4.2% 4.8% 5.1% 5.7% 5.8% 6.7% 5.0% 6.4% 9.2% 8.8% 10.1% 9.8% 12.5% 5.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.