← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.47vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.67+4.59vs Predicted
-
32.44+4.60vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University2.05+4.88vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College1.73+4.87vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island3.37-1.13vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.58-0.15vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University1.86+1.29vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-2.27vs Predicted
-
10Boston University2.05-1.06vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.96-4.99vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14-0.59vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University2.30-5.05vs Predicted
-
14Brown University3.01-8.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.2%1st Place
-
6.59Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
-
7.62.440.1%1st Place
-
8.88Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
-
9.87Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
-
4.87University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
6.85Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
-
9.29Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
-
6.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
-
8.94Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
-
6.01University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
11.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
-
7.95Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
-
5.57Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 16.5% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Mary Paz | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 7.8% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 17.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 14.1% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 13.3% |
| Laura Dunphy | 8.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 8.7% |
| Amina Brown | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Emily Casella | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 37.1% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.