Race 8B

toni-deutsch

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Dana Rohde 18.0% 14.4% 15.0% 11.2% 10.1% 7.3% 7.5% 5.1% 3.3% 2.9% 2.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.4%
Sophie Bermudez 6.7% 9.2% 7.3% 8.0% 6.9% 8.2% 8.2% 9.4% 9.5% 8.1% 7.3% 4.8% 4.3% 2.1%
Johanna Kincaid 9.5% 12.1% 10.7% 9.2% 9.9% 9.0% 9.2% 7.9% 7.0% 5.3% 4.7% 3.9% 1.2% 0.4%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 5.3% 8.7% 8.1% 7.8% 8.4% 8.5% 9.2% 9.1% 7.5% 7.9% 7.3% 6.2% 3.7% 2.3%
Amina Brown 8.5% 8.9% 10.9% 9.9% 10.2% 9.5% 7.6% 8.4% 6.5% 6.8% 6.2% 3.4% 2.3% 0.9%
Laura Dunphy 8.0% 6.9% 7.8% 8.7% 8.3% 8.6% 9.0% 8.7% 7.3% 7.4% 7.2% 6.4% 4.1% 1.6%
Mary Paz 6.9% 6.7% 7.3% 6.9% 6.4% 7.4% 9.4% 8.6% 9.0% 6.8% 7.5% 7.7% 6.5% 2.9%
Sarah Hermus 16.3% 13.6% 11.5% 11.5% 11.6% 8.5% 6.3% 6.4% 5.3% 4.1% 2.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.2%
Victoria McGruer 4.8% 3.2% 4.0% 4.9% 4.7% 5.4% 6.6% 6.7% 8.3% 10.1% 10.5% 11.1% 11.1% 8.6%
Janel DeCurtis 3.0% 2.7% 3.3% 4.0% 4.1% 6.3% 4.9% 6.1% 7.8% 8.2% 9.4% 12.2% 14.0% 14.0%
Lindsey Kennett 3.7% 4.2% 4.2% 4.3% 6.5% 6.0% 6.7% 5.8% 7.7% 9.5% 10.2% 11.0% 10.7% 9.5%
Kate Levinson 4.5% 5.3% 4.7% 6.9% 6.6% 7.6% 8.2% 7.8% 8.2% 9.9% 7.3% 9.3% 8.3% 5.4%
Rebecca Quirke 3.2% 2.7% 4.0% 3.9% 3.8% 4.6% 4.5% 6.4% 6.4% 8.0% 10.7% 11.8% 14.8% 15.2%
Emily Casella 1.6% 1.4% 1.2% 2.8% 2.5% 3.1% 2.7% 3.6% 6.2% 5.0% 6.3% 9.1% 18.0% 36.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.