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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.73+8.66vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.34vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+2.86vs Predicted
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42.44+3.61vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+1.75vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37-1.16vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.01-1.49vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.05+0.73vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.30-0.91vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.05-1.03vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.58-3.80vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86-2.60vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.67-6.23vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.66Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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4.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.2%1st Place
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5.86University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.612.440.0%1st Place
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6.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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5.51Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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8.73Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.09Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.97Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.2Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.4Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.77Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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11.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Quirke | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 14.9% |
| Dana Rohde | 16.9% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Amina Brown | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Mary Paz | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Laura Dunphy | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.3% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Victoria McGruer | 4.9% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 9.2% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 3.9% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 9.3% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 13.5% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Emily Casella | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.