Race 10B

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Amina Brown 9.7% 11.1% 11.9% 7.9% 10.1% 8.7% 9.4% 7.3% 5.8% 5.9% 5.8% 3.4% 1.7% 1.3%
Dana Rohde 17.3% 15.7% 13.8% 12.2% 10.1% 10.0% 6.8% 5.2% 3.6% 2.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.3%
Johanna Kincaid 10.5% 11.9% 10.1% 9.6% 7.8% 9.7% 9.2% 7.5% 7.7% 5.8% 4.9% 3.5% 1.3% 0.5%
Laura Dunphy 6.4% 8.8% 9.4% 7.1% 9.4% 6.9% 10.6% 7.8% 7.2% 7.8% 6.3% 7.6% 3.1% 1.6%
Sophie Bermudez 5.1% 6.5% 7.0% 8.6% 7.5% 9.2% 6.6% 9.1% 8.4% 9.2% 6.8% 8.9% 4.5% 2.6%
Victoria McGruer 4.2% 3.5% 4.1% 4.6% 4.4% 6.3% 7.0% 6.8% 6.9% 10.7% 10.3% 9.1% 11.6% 10.5%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 8.6% 8.6% 8.5% 8.6% 7.6% 8.4% 7.4% 9.6% 8.1% 7.4% 6.6% 4.5% 4.5% 1.6%
Janel DeCurtis 3.9% 3.0% 4.4% 5.2% 4.3% 4.7% 4.3% 5.9% 8.0% 8.4% 9.9% 11.4% 13.2% 13.4%
Sarah Hermus 14.6% 13.3% 11.9% 13.0% 10.5% 10.9% 6.5% 6.6% 4.5% 3.3% 2.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Kate Levinson 5.0% 4.5% 4.8% 5.9% 8.2% 5.9% 7.5% 7.7% 9.8% 9.0% 10.5% 8.3% 8.8% 4.1%
Rebecca Quirke 2.8% 2.8% 2.4% 3.1% 4.5% 4.1% 4.8% 6.8% 7.5% 7.7% 9.7% 12.6% 14.8% 16.4%
Mary Paz 6.0% 4.6% 6.0% 7.0% 8.2% 7.5% 8.4% 8.6% 8.4% 9.0% 8.2% 7.8% 6.5% 3.8%
Lindsey Kennett 4.3% 4.2% 3.8% 5.0% 5.9% 5.2% 7.7% 6.6% 8.0% 8.6% 9.7% 12.1% 11.8% 7.1%
Emily Casella 1.6% 1.5% 1.9% 2.2% 1.5% 2.5% 3.8% 4.5% 6.1% 5.2% 6.6% 8.6% 17.2% 36.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.