Race 11B

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Laura Dunphy 7.9% 8.5% 9.2% 8.1% 9.4% 7.5% 9.5% 8.3% 8.4% 6.1% 7.4% 5.4% 3.6% 0.7%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 7.8% 9.0% 8.4% 7.8% 8.0% 9.2% 7.4% 9.6% 8.6% 8.8% 6.5% 4.5% 3.3% 1.1%
Dana Rohde 16.7% 16.1% 14.4% 10.0% 10.1% 7.7% 8.2% 6.1% 4.3% 3.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Mary Paz 5.0% 5.9% 6.7% 7.1% 7.0% 7.5% 8.0% 8.7% 8.5% 9.7% 8.3% 8.9% 6.5% 2.2%
Victoria McGruer 3.2% 4.0% 3.3% 5.7% 5.9% 6.1% 5.8% 7.2% 8.4% 9.0% 9.3% 12.9% 10.3% 8.9%
Kate Levinson 5.6% 4.7% 5.0% 5.5% 5.6% 7.7% 7.4% 8.0% 9.2% 9.2% 9.0% 10.3% 8.4% 4.4%
Alexandra Romagnoli 5.8% 5.6% 7.0% 6.3% 5.5% 7.1% 7.7% 9.1% 7.1% 9.4% 10.3% 7.5% 8.1% 3.5%
Emily Casella 1.8% 2.2% 1.8% 2.5% 2.5% 3.3% 3.1% 3.0% 4.8% 4.9% 6.8% 11.9% 16.4% 35.0%
Sarah Hermus 14.3% 14.6% 10.8% 12.4% 12.3% 9.3% 7.2% 5.9% 5.1% 3.5% 2.6% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Sophie Bermudez 6.1% 6.9% 6.0% 7.7% 9.7% 6.4% 9.7% 8.2% 9.4% 9.3% 9.1% 5.8% 3.6% 2.1%
Amina Brown 10.7% 8.7% 9.8% 10.4% 8.8% 8.7% 8.7% 8.7% 6.8% 6.4% 5.6% 4.0% 2.2% 0.5%
Johanna Kincaid 9.8% 9.3% 11.7% 10.5% 8.4% 11.4% 8.5% 7.1% 7.0% 6.1% 3.5% 3.6% 2.5% 0.6%
Anna Booras 2.1% 1.3% 2.2% 1.9% 1.6% 3.1% 3.2% 3.5% 4.4% 4.6% 9.4% 10.5% 19.0% 33.2%
Janel DeCurtis 3.2% 3.2% 3.7% 4.1% 5.2% 5.0% 5.6% 6.6% 8.0% 9.2% 10.6% 12.7% 15.3% 7.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.