Race 12B

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Janel DeCurtis 3.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.6% 5.1% 5.8% 5.5% 6.8% 7.8% 10.6% 8.6% 12.8% 11.3% 11.1%
Dana Rohde 18.8% 14.6% 13.2% 12.7% 10.6% 9.4% 6.9% 5.0% 3.4% 2.3% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%
Laura Dunphy 7.5% 9.2% 8.3% 7.5% 7.0% 8.0% 9.9% 8.1% 9.8% 8.0% 7.9% 4.8% 2.9% 1.1%
Kate Levinson 4.3% 5.5% 5.7% 7.0% 6.7% 6.9% 5.3% 9.9% 8.6% 7.3% 10.1% 11.8% 7.1% 3.8%
Sarah Hermus 12.9% 14.2% 13.9% 12.1% 9.6% 9.6% 7.4% 6.7% 5.2% 4.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Johanna Kincaid 9.6% 11.0% 10.2% 9.9% 10.5% 7.8% 9.6% 8.1% 6.2% 5.9% 4.7% 4.0% 2.1% 0.4%
Sophie Bermudez 7.3% 8.9% 7.6% 7.4% 8.5% 7.3% 8.6% 9.0% 8.1% 7.9% 8.2% 6.4% 3.6% 1.2%
Alexandra Romagnoli 5.8% 5.3% 6.1% 5.8% 7.1% 5.8% 9.0% 6.4% 9.1% 7.2% 10.1% 9.0% 9.1% 4.2%
Amina Brown 10.1% 7.8% 9.9% 10.5% 10.1% 11.2% 7.5% 7.6% 9.5% 6.3% 3.4% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6%
Mary Paz 5.5% 5.2% 6.7% 5.8% 7.8% 7.9% 7.2% 9.8% 8.0% 8.6% 10.1% 7.5% 6.9% 3.0%
Victoria McGruer 4.1% 4.0% 3.7% 4.3% 5.5% 6.7% 7.1% 6.9% 7.2% 9.8% 10.5% 11.3% 10.7% 8.2%
Anna Booras 1.3% 1.8% 1.7% 1.5% 2.4% 2.6% 2.9% 2.5% 3.7% 8.2% 7.5% 12.1% 19.3% 32.5%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 7.9% 8.0% 7.3% 8.7% 7.3% 9.0% 9.0% 7.9% 9.3% 7.8% 7.7% 5.0% 3.2% 1.9%
Emily Casella 1.4% 1.5% 2.2% 2.2% 1.8% 2.0% 4.1% 5.3% 4.1% 5.8% 7.3% 9.7% 20.9% 31.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.