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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.30+6.75vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.73+7.30vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+3.46vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01+1.64vs Predicted
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52.44+2.49vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.05+2.73vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.86+1.88vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-3.62vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.11+2.23vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.67-3.32vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.96-5.14vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.58-4.94vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14-1.94vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.37-9.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.75Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.3Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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6.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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5.64Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.492.440.0%1st Place
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8.73Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.88Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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4.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.2%1st Place
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11.23Boston University1.110.0%1st Place
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6.68Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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5.86University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.06Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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11.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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4.48University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Levinson | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 10.5% |
| Laura Dunphy | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.8% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Mary Paz | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Victoria McGruer | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 7.1% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 7.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 17.8% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Anna Booras | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 18.9% | 32.8% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Amina Brown | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Emily Casella | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 13.3% | 19.0% | 29.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 17.1% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.