← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.67+5.56vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.58+4.73vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island3.37+1.54vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.30+3.87vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.01+0.75vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-1.51vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.96-1.47vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University1.86+1.05vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14+2.19vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University2.05-1.28vs Predicted
-
112.44-3.52vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-5.50vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College1.73-3.50vs Predicted
-
14Boston University1.11-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.56Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
-
6.73Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
-
4.54University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
-
7.87Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
-
5.75Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
4.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.2%1st Place
-
5.53University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
9.05Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
-
11.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
-
8.72Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
-
7.482.440.1%1st Place
-
6.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
-
9.5Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
-
11.08Boston University1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 16.3% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 16.5% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 9.2% |
| Emily Casella | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 18.7% | 32.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 5.6% |
| Mary Paz | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Laura Dunphy | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 12.0% |
| Anna Booras | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 19.3% | 30.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.